090°Données ouvertes
Jeux de données ouverts, entièrement documentés — interrogeables ici, et lisibles par n’importe quel LLM.
Les titres et les descriptions proviennent des sources de données, en anglais.
14 jeux de données
US Business-Formation Signals (derived)
Weekly US business-formation signals from Census Bureau Business Formation Statistics (FRED BUSAPPWNSAUS + HBUSAPPWNSAUS, 2006 ->): total and high-propensity business applications with 13-week momentum, year-on-year change, 30-week change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift forecasts, and the high-propensity share of applications (the quality mix of the startup pipeline). The entry-margin lens on the US business cycle — applications lead formations, and high-propensity applications lead employer births. Companion to us-labor-market-signals (established firms) and us-state-coincident-activity-signals (output). All rows normalized to country_code USA. Raw series: U.S. Census Bureau Business Formation Statistics via FRED.
National Activity Signals (derived)
Monthly signals derived from the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (redistributed by FRED, 1967-03 ->): 30-month change volatility, 3-month momentum, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-month baseline, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, the Chicago Fed's 3-month moving-average business-cycle gauge, recession and expansion flags at the Chicago Fed's +/-0.70 thresholds, and a 5-year activity-regime z-score. All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED); underlying data: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
US Business-Cycle & Core-Inflation Intelligence (FRED, keyless)
Monthly US business-cycle reference panel, 1854-12 onward: the NBER-based recession indicator (FRED USREC), a 0/1 dummy marking the period from the month following each NBER business-cycle peak through the trough month. Carries recession_start and recession_end flags, a per-episode episode_id, months_into_recession and months_since_last_recession for regime-duration features. Upstream: National Bureau of Economic Research business-cycle reference dates, redistributed keyless via FRED fredgraph.csv (restores the reference series purged from the API-key FRED connector on 2026-09-29). Method caveats: the NBER declares peaks and troughs with a long lag, so recent months can be revised from 0 to 1; the opening 1854-12 episode starts in-recession with no observed start. One row per month x USA; the series is binary by construction and any non-0/1 value fails loudly. Who joins this: all three personas join on year_month + country_code to condition demand, churn and pipeline models on the official recession regime.
Harmonized-Unemployment Signals (derived)
Monthly harmonized-unemployment signals for 20 major economies from the OECD's Infra-Annual Labor Statistics (ILO-harmonized definition, ages 15+, seasonally adjusted; redistributed by FRED): 3-month momentum, 30-month change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-month baseline, drift forecasts, per-month cross-country ranks, a 3-year labor-stress z-score, an elevated-labor-market flag, and a cross-country dispersion gauge for global labor-divergence. The cross-country companion to us-labor-market-signals (US depth) and euro-area-unemployment-signals (euro breadth): one comparable measure for spotting which labor markets crack first. All rows normalized to ISO alpha-3 country codes so they join cleanly with every other global dataset. Raw series: OECD via FRED (commercial re-use of OECD data requires prior permission — flagged in the UI).
IMF Global Real-GDP-Growth Signals (derived)
Annual global real-GDP-growth signals from the IMF DataMapper (NGDP_RPCH, ~190 economies, 1980 -> latest WEO vintage, projections kept as published): growth acceleration, 5-year changes, OLS trend slopes, 3-sigma anomaly flags, 5-year extrapolation forecasts, 10-year growth z-scores, per-year growth ranks, recession (negative growth) and high-growth (>=6%) flags. The growth-cycle lens on the world economy — the ML-enriched companion to the raw imf real-gdp-growth series. Country codes validated via the shared normalization layer. Raw indicator: International Monetary Fund DataMapper.
OECD Composite Leading Indicators
Monthly OECD Composite Leading Indicator (measure LI: "Composite leading indicator (CLI)"), amplitude adjusted, long term average = 100. Designed to give early signals of turning points of economic activity, for OECD members, key partners and major aggregates.
Monthly OECD Composite Leading Indicator (measure LI: "Composite leading indicator (CLI)"), normalised, long term average = 100. Designed to give early signals of turning points of economic activity, for OECD members, key partners and major aggregates.
OECD Business-Cycle Signals (derived)
Signals derived from the OECD Composite Leading Indicator (amplitude adjusted, monthly): CLI distance from long-term trend (cli_gap vs 100), 3/6-month momentum, turning-point detection (peaks/troughs of the smoothed CLI), expansion/contraction phase flags, below-trend streaks, 30-month annualized volatility of CLI changes, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift 1-month forecasts and a per-month cross-country volatility rank. Covers 18 countries (AUS, BRA, CAN, CHN, DEU, ESP, FRA, GBR, IDN, IND, ITA, JPN, KOR, MEX, TUR, USA, ZAF plus aggregates G20, G7, NAFTA, A5M, G4E), monthly 1955 -> present. All rows carry canonical country_code so they join cleanly with country-keyed macro data. Raw series: OECD Data Explorer (Main Economic Indicators).
Output & Business-Cycle Signals (derived)
Signals derived from FRED's US output and business-cycle series: 30-period annualized volatility of monthly changes, 3-month momentum, year-over-year percent change, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-month cross-series volatility rank, and the NBER recession-month streak counter. Covers INDPRO (industrial production index), TCU (capacity utilization), DGORDER (manufacturers' durable goods orders) and USREC (NBER recession indicator). All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED).
Corporate Profit Signals (derived)
Quarterly signals derived from BEA corporate-profits data (redistributed by FRED): 30-quarter annualized change volatility, 1-quarter momentum, year-over-year change, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-quarter baseline, naive-drift 1-quarter forecasts, a per-quarter cross-series volatility rank, the economy-wide profit margin (profits as % of GDP) and a 20-quarter margin z-score (the profitability-regime gauge). Covers corporate profits after tax from 1947. All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED); underlying data: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Recession-Probability Signals (derived)
Monthly US recession-probability signals from the New York Fed's Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities (Chauvet-Piger dynamic-factor Markov-switching model, redistributed by FRED, 1967 ->): the forward-looking probability that the economy is in recession, with 3-month momentum, 30-month change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags, drift forecasts, a 5-year probability z-score, elevated (>=30) and recession-call (>=50) flags, a surging-risk flag, and a high-probability streak counter. The forward-looking companion to the NBER-based realized recession flag in us-output-business-cycle-signals. All rows normalized to country_code USA. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of New York via FRED.
Sahm-Rule Labor Signals (derived)
Monthly US Sahm-rule recession signals from the BLS unemployment rate (FRED UNRATE, 1948 ->): the 3-month average unemployment rate minus its 12-month low (pp), with the 0.50pp recession trigger flag, a 0.30pp warning flag, a fast-rise flag, 3-month momentum, 30-month change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags, drift forecasts, a 5-year z-score, and the 12-month unemployment-rate change. The rule-based, transparent companion to us-recession-probability-signals (model probability) and the deterioration lens on us-labor-market-signals (raw levels). All rows normalized to country_code USA. Raw series: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED.
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