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US output & business-cycle signals (industrial production momentum, capacity utilization, recession streaks, anomalies, forecasts)

Signals derived from FRED's US output and business-cycle series: 30-period annualized volatility of monthly changes, 3-month momentum, year-over-year percent change, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-month cross-series volatility rank, and the NBER recession-month streak counter. Covers INDPRO (industrial production index), TCU (capacity utilization), DGORDER (manufacturers' durable goods orders) and USREC (NBER recession indicator). All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED).

Source: Output & Business-Cycle Signals (derived)4,483 lignesMis à jour: 22/09/2026
industrial-productioncapacity-utilizationdurable-goodsbusiness-cyclerecessionvolatilitymomentumanomaly-detectionforecastingsignalsfred

Qualité

98.3

Attribution

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED; derived signals by Frontier Data Hub)

Schéma

ColonneTypeDescription
datestringObservation date (FRED API field date; YYYY-MM-DD).
countrystring
country_codestring
series_idstringFRED series ID, e.g. INDPRO, TCU, DGORDER, USREC; resolves to the series page at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/<id>.
series_labelstringOfficial FRED series title as published for the series.
valuefloatObservation value as published by FRED for this series (INDPRO industrial production index with base 2017=100; TCU capacity utilization in percent; DGORDER durable goods orders in millions of dollars; USREC NBER recession indicator, 1 or 0); see the series notes for methodology and revisions.
volatility_30dfloat
momentum_3mfloat
yoy_change_pctfloat
anomaly_flaginteger
forecast_1mfloat
rankinteger
recession_streakfloat

Exemple de lignes

datecountrycountry_codeseries_idseries_labelvaluevolatility_30dmomentum_3myoy_change_pctanomaly_flagforecast_1mrankrecession_streak
1854-12-01United StatesUSAUSRECNBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough101
1855-01-01United StatesUSAUSRECNBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough000
1855-02-01United StatesUSAUSRECNBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough000
1855-03-01United StatesUSAUSRECNBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough0-100
1855-04-01United StatesUSAUSRECNBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough0000

Télécharger un échantillon

Téléchargez l'échantillon complet de ce jeu de données (lignes d'exemple, pas le jeu complet).

Utiliser avec un LLM

Dirigez n’importe quel LLM vers le point d’accès des métadonnées — la documentation ci-dessus est aussi lisible par machine (JSON-LD + Croissant).

cURL

curl "https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/output_signals/us_output_business_cycle_signals" | jq '{title, rows, columns_count, license}'

Python

import requests

ds = requests.get("https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/output_signals/us_output_business_cycle_signals").json()
print(ds["title"], ds["rows"], "rows")

# Sample rows for an LLM context window
for row in ds.get("sample_rows", [])[:5]:
    print(row)

Point d’accès API: https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/output_signals/us_output_business_cycle_signals

Astuce : récupérez /llms.txt pour le catalogue complet lisible par machine.

US output & business-cycle signals (industrial production momentum, capacity utilization, recession streaks, anomalies, forecasts)