US Sahm-rule labor-recession signals
Monthly US Sahm-rule recession signals from the BLS unemployment rate (FRED UNRATE, 1948 ->): the 3-month average unemployment rate minus its 12-month low (pp), with the 0.50pp recession trigger flag, a 0.30pp warning flag, a fast-rise flag, 3-month momentum, 30-month change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags, drift forecasts, a 5-year z-score, and the 12-month unemployment-rate change. The rule-based, transparent companion to us-recession-probability-signals (model probability) and the deterioration lens on us-labor-market-signals (raw levels). All rows normalized to country_code USA. Raw series: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED.
Qualité
Attribution
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED; Sahm-rule derivation and signals by Frontier Data Hub
Schéma
| Colonne | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| date | string | Observation date (FRED API field date; YYYY-MM-DD, monthly). |
| country | string | |
| country_code | string | |
| series_id | string | SAHM: the Sahm Rule recession indicator, derived from FRED series UNRATE (Unemployment Rate, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey). |
| series_label | string | Sahm Rule recession indicator: the 3-month moving average of the unemployment rate minus its 12-month low, in percentage points. |
| value | float | Sahm Rule indicator value in percentage points: 3-month average unemployment rate minus the 12-month low. Readings at or above 0.50 have coincided with the start of every US recession since 1970 (Claudia Sahm). |
| momentum_3m | float | |
| volatility_30d | float | |
| anomaly_flag | integer | |
| forecast_1m | float | |
| recession_flag | integer | |
| warning_flag | integer | |
| rising_fast_flag | integer | |
| sahm_z_5y | float | |
| unemp_12m_change_pp | float |
Exemple de lignes
| date | country | country_code | series_id | series_label | value | momentum_3m | volatility_30d | anomaly_flag | forecast_1m | recession_flag | warning_flag | rising_fast_flag | sahm_z_5y | unemp_12m_change_pp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1948-01-01 | United States | USA | SAHM | Sahm Rule recession indicator: 3-month average unemployment rate minus its 12-month low (pp) | — | — | — | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| 1948-02-01 | United States | USA | SAHM | Sahm Rule recession indicator: 3-month average unemployment rate minus its 12-month low (pp) | — | — | — | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| 1948-03-01 | United States | USA | SAHM | Sahm Rule recession indicator: 3-month average unemployment rate minus its 12-month low (pp) | — | — | — | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| 1948-04-01 | United States | USA | SAHM | Sahm Rule recession indicator: 3-month average unemployment rate minus its 12-month low (pp) | — | — | — | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| 1948-05-01 | United States | USA | SAHM | Sahm Rule recession indicator: 3-month average unemployment rate minus its 12-month low (pp) | — | — | — | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Télécharger un échantillon
Téléchargez l'échantillon complet de ce jeu de données (lignes d'exemple, pas le jeu complet).
Utiliser avec un LLM
Dirigez n’importe quel LLM vers le point d’accès des métadonnées — la documentation ci-dessus est aussi lisible par machine (JSON-LD + Croissant).
cURL
curl "https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/sahm_labor_signals/us_sahm_labor_recession_signals" | jq '{title, rows, columns_count, license}'Python
import requests
ds = requests.get("https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/sahm_labor_signals/us_sahm_labor_recession_signals").json()
print(ds["title"], ds["rows"], "rows")
# Sample rows for an LLM context window
for row in ds.get("sample_rows", [])[:5]:
print(row)Point d’accès API: https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/sahm_labor_signals/us_sahm_labor_recession_signals
Astuce : récupérez /llms.txt pour le catalogue complet lisible par machine.