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Données ouvertes

Bibliothèque

Jeux de données ouverts, entièrement documentés — interrogeables ici, et lisibles par n’importe quel LLM.

Les titres et les descriptions proviennent des sources de données, en anglais.

2 jeux de données

nowcast
  • US Business-Cycle Activity Intelligence (FRED, keyless)

    US business-cycle activity panel (Chicago Fed CFNAI, monthly)

    Monthly US business-cycle activity panel, 1967-03 onward: the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) — a weighted average of 85 economic indicators in production, employment, consumption/housing and sales/orders/inventories, in standard deviations from the historical mean (0 = trend growth), redistributed keyless via FRED fredgraph.csv. Carries the Chicago Fed's headline 3-month moving average (CFNAI-MA3) plus its documented interpretation flags: recession risk (MA3 < -0.70), expansion likelihood (MA3 > -0.70) and sustained-inflation risk (MA3 > +0.70), a trailing-12-month z-score, signed below-average streaks and a 0-100 activity score. One row per month-start; the series is complete over the whole grid, so any null fails loudly. Completes the catalog's nowcast family: ADS (daily) and Dallas Fed WEI (weekly) are the faster layers. Who joins this: subscription businesses model churn against below_avg_streak and recession_risk_flag by month; shops read activity_score as the demand-regime backdrop; sales teams time big-ticket outreach on expansion_likely_flag.

    • macroeconomics
    • business-cycle
    • recession
    • nowcast
    lignes
    714
    Qualité
    100
    Mis à jour
    1 oct. 2026
    À jour
    Licence
    Usage commercial OK
  • US Business Conditions (Philadelphia Fed ADS index, keyless)

    US business conditions daily: Philly Fed ADS index

    Daily US business-conditions panel, 1960-03-01 onward: the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti (ADS) index (standardized, mean 0 / sd 1; positive = better-than-average conditions), the Philly Fed's own 7-day and 30-day trailing smoothed levels, the NBER recession flag as published (RECBARS), plus deterministic derived features: regime and regime_tier (expansion/contraction, strong/weak on the unit-sd scale), business_conditions_score = 100*Phi(7-day mean), trailing-1-year z-score, signed streak_days, zero-crossing event flags, and trailing-1-year new high/low flags. One row per day x USA; raw gates (exact 3-column layout, gapless calendar days, finite levels, RECBARS in {0,1}) fail loudly, never imputed. Upstream: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, most-current ADS vintage, keyless. Who joins this: online shops join revenue on date, subscription businesses use the score and tiers as demand-regime features for churn models, sales teams read streaks and crossings as the macro backdrop.

    • macroeconomics
    • daily
    • usa
    • demand-forecasting
    lignes
    24 316
    Qualité
    100
    Mis à jour
    30 sept. 2026
    À jour
    Licence
    Usage commercial OK

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