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Open datasets, fully documented — searchable here, and readable by any LLM.

124 datasets

momentum
  • JOLTS Labor Market Signals (derived)

    US JOLTS labor market signals (openings, quits, layoffs churn gauge, anomalies)

    Monthly labor-market signals derived from FRED's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS): 30-month annualized change volatility, 3-month momentum, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-month baseline, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-month cross-series volatility rank, and the quits-minus-layoffs churn spread (the tight-vs-loose labor market gauge). Covers job openings level and rate, quits rate, layoffs & discharges rate and hires rate. All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED); underlying survey: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

    • labor
    • jolts
    • job-openings
    • quits
    rows
    1,540
    Quality
    99
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • Labor-Demand Signals (derived)

    US labor-demand signals (JOLTS openings, hires, quits)

    Monthly US labor-demand signals from BLS JOLTS data (via FRED, 2000 ->): job openings, the hires rate and the quits rate, with 3-month momentum, 30-month change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags, drift forecasts, 3-year demand z-scores, a hires hiring-freeze flag, a quits-based worker-confidence gauge and a vacancy-surge flag. The labor-DEMAND companion to the labor-supply levels in us-labor-market-signals: how tight the labor market is from the employer's and the worker's side. All rows normalized to country_code USA. Raw series: Bureau of Labor Statistics (JOLTS) via FRED.

    • labor
    • labor-market
    • jolts
    • job-openings
    rows
    924
    Quality
    94
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • Labor Market Signals (derived)

    US labor market signals (Sahm-rule recession indicator, claims anomalies, momentum, forecasts)

    Daily-row labor-market signals derived from FRED's US labor series: the Sahm-rule recession indicator on the unemployment rate (trigger flag + consecutive-month streak), 30-period annualized volatility of changes, 3-month momentum, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-date cross-series volatility rank, and the 4-week moving average on weekly jobless claims. Covers UNRATE (monthly unemployment rate), PAYEMS (monthly nonfarm payrolls), ICSA (weekly initial claims, seasonally adjusted) and CCSA (weekly continued claims, seasonally adjusted). All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED).

    • labor
    • unemployment
    • jobless-claims
    • sahm-rule
    rows
    8,224
    Quality
    97
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • US Labor-Market Slack Signals (derived)

    US labor-market slack signals (duration & underemployment)

    Monthly US labor-market slack signals from BLS duration and underemployment series (FRED UEMPMEAN 1948 ->, U6RATE 1994 ->): 3-month momentum, year-on-year change, 30-month change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift forecasts, a long-duration (>=27 weeks) flag, an elevated-underemployment (U-6 >= 10%) flag, and 5-year z-scores for both. The slack lens on US labor — complementing us-labor-market-signals (headline levels) and sahm-labor-recession-signals (recession trigger) by watching unemployment duration and underemployment, where labor-market pain concentrates. All rows normalized to country_code USA. Raw series: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Current Population Survey) via FRED.

    • unemployment
    • underemployment
    • labor-market
    • duration
    rows
    1,334
    Quality
    96
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • US Loan-Loss Signals (derived)

    US loan-loss signals (charge-off rates, stress regimes)

    Quarterly US bank loan-loss signals from Federal Reserve Board charge-off rates (via FRED): all-real-estate-loan charge-offs (CORALACBS) and credit-card charge-offs (CORCCACBS), 1991 ->, with quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year change, 30-quarter change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift forecasts, 5-year loss z-scores, and elevated / severe loss-regime flags. The realized-losses lens on bank credit quality — the realized damage to delinquency's early warning. Companion to us-bank-credit-cycle-signals (volumes, delinquency) and us-sloos-bank-lending-standards-signals (standards). All rows normalized to country_code USA. Raw series: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED.

    • banks
    • charge-offs
    • loan-losses
    • credit-quality
    rows
    332
    Quality
    99
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • US Monetary Policy Signals (derived)

    US monetary policy signals (money-supply growth, policy-rate momentum, QE/QT tracker)

    Daily-to-monthly monetary signals derived from FRED's US money and policy series: 30-period annualized change volatility, 3-month momentum, year-over-year change (the money-supply growth gauge), 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-date cross-series volatility rank, and the QE/QT tracker (3-month percent change of total Federal Reserve balance-sheet assets; negative = quantitative tightening). Covers the effective federal funds rate (daily and monthly), M1, M2, the monetary base and total Fed balance-sheet assets. All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED; US-government series from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System).

    • monetary-policy
    • federal-reserve
    • money-supply
    • fed-funds
    rows
    30,924
    Quality
    98
    Updated
    Sep 24, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • Money-Velocity Signals (derived)

    US money-velocity signals (M1V, M2V circulation gauges)

    Quarterly US money-velocity signals from FRED (1959 ->): the velocity of M1 and M2 money stocks (nominal GDP / money), with quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year changes, 30-quarter change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags, drift forecasts, 10-year velocity z-scores, a slow-circulation flag and the M1-minus-M2 circulation gap. The monetarist-transmission lens: how fast money circulates through the economy. The velocity companion to the money-stock levels in us-monetary-signals. All rows normalized to country_code USA. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED.

    • money
    • velocity
    • monetarism
    • m1
    rows
    540
    Quality
    99
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • Norway Category-Inflation Heat Signals (derived)

    Norway category-inflation heat signals (SSB CPI by COICOP group, monthly heat-map)

    Category-level Norwegian inflation signals derived from Statistics Norway's CPI by goods/services group: 12-month inflation rates for twelve COICOP categories plus the all-items total since 2000, with month-on-month rate changes, acceleration gauges, 12-month annualized change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-month baseline, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, per-month cross-category heat ranks, each category's gap versus the all-items total, high-heat (>4%) flags and the share of categories running above 2%. The monetizable signals layer on top of raw Statistics Norway price data. Raw series: SSB StatBank CPI by derived series and goods/services group.

    • inflation
    • cpi
    • norway
    • ssb
    rows
    4,228
    Quality
    100
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • OECD Business-Cycle Signals (derived)

    OECD business-cycle signals (CLI turning points, trend gaps, expansion/contraction phases)

    Signals derived from the OECD Composite Leading Indicator (amplitude adjusted, monthly): CLI distance from long-term trend (cli_gap vs 100), 3/6-month momentum, turning-point detection (peaks/troughs of the smoothed CLI), expansion/contraction phase flags, below-trend streaks, 30-month annualized volatility of CLI changes, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift 1-month forecasts and a per-month cross-country volatility rank. Covers 18 countries (AUS, BRA, CAN, CHN, DEU, ESP, FRA, GBR, IDN, IND, ITA, JPN, KOR, MEX, TUR, USA, ZAF plus aggregates G20, G7, NAFTA, A5M, G4E), monthly 1955 -> present. All rows carry canonical country_code so they join cleanly with country-keyed macro data. Raw series: OECD Data Explorer (Main Economic Indicators).

    • business-cycle
    • leading-indicator
    • cli
    • oecd
    rows
    14,263
    Quality
    97
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    No commercial use
  • Output & Business-Cycle Signals (derived)

    US output & business-cycle signals (industrial production momentum, capacity utilization, recession streaks, anomalies, forecasts)

    Signals derived from FRED's US output and business-cycle series: 30-period annualized volatility of monthly changes, 3-month momentum, year-over-year percent change, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-month cross-series volatility rank, and the NBER recession-month streak counter. Covers INDPRO (industrial production index), TCU (capacity utilization), DGORDER (manufacturers' durable goods orders) and USREC (NBER recession indicator). All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED).

    • industrial-production
    • capacity-utilization
    • durable-goods
    • business-cycle
    rows
    4,483
    Quality
    98
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • Productivity-Pay Gap Signals (derived)

    US productivity-pay gap signals (decoupling gauge, compensation vs output per hour)

    Quarterly signals derived from BLS productivity and costs data (redistributed by FRED, 1947 ->): 30-quarter annualized change volatility, 1-quarter momentum, year-over-year change, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-quarter baseline, naive-drift 1-quarter forecasts, a per-quarter cross-series volatility rank, the real pay-minus-productivity gap (both rebased to 1947 = 100 — the decoupling gauge) and a 10-year gap z-score (the decoupling-regime gauge). All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED); underlying data: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

    • productivity
    • wages
    • compensation
    • labor-market
    rows
    636
    Quality
    99
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • Corporate Profit Signals (derived)

    US corporate profit signals (profit momentum, economy-wide margin, profitability regime, anomalies)

    Quarterly signals derived from BEA corporate-profits data (redistributed by FRED): 30-quarter annualized change volatility, 1-quarter momentum, year-over-year change, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-quarter baseline, naive-drift 1-quarter forecasts, a per-quarter cross-series volatility rank, the economy-wide profit margin (profits as % of GDP) and a 20-quarter margin z-score (the profitability-regime gauge). Covers corporate profits after tax from 1947. All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED); underlying data: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

    • corporate-profits
    • profit-margin
    • earnings
    • business-cycle
    rows
    318
    Quality
    99
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK

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