CBO 10-year US budget baseline, annual
Annual US federal budget baseline projections from the Congressional Budget Office's 10-year outlook (keyless, public domain): deficit, primary deficit, debt held by the public and gross debt, total revenues and outlays, revenue mix (individual income, payroll, corporate, customs), outlay mix (discretionary defense/nondefense, mandatory Social Security / Medicare / Medicaid, net interest) with GDP shares where CBO publishes them for every year, plus derived debt-sustainability features (net interest share of revenues, YoY moves in the debt ratio and deficit level, debt-rising flag). One row per fiscal year x USA; CBO sign convention (deficit negative). Latest vintage resolved automatically; accounting identities verified per year, never imputed.
- Rows
- 12
- Columns
- 38
- Source cadence
- Yearly
- Last refreshed
- Sep 30, 2026
- Theme
- economy
| Column | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| fiscal_year | integer | US federal fiscal year (Oct 1 - Sep 30); panel join key. (unit: year) |
| fiscal_year_label | string | Fiscal year as 'FY2026'. (unit: string) |
| country | string | Country name (shared normalization layer). (unit: string) |
| country_code | string | ISO 3166-1 alpha-3 country code (USA). (unit: string) |
| deficit_bn | float | Total projected deficit (-) or surplus (CBO sign convention: negative in deficit years) = revenues - outlays. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| primary_deficit_bn | float | Primary deficit (-) or surplus, excluding net interest. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| debt_public_bn | float | Projected debt held by the public, end of fiscal year. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| debt_gdp_pct | float | Debt held by the public as % of GDP, end of fiscal year. (unit: Percent of GDP (CBO baseline).) |
| debt_gross_bn | float | Projected gross federal debt. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| revenues_bn | float | Total projected federal revenues. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| rev_individual_bn | float | Projected individual income tax revenues. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| rev_payroll_bn | float | Projected payroll tax revenues. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| rev_corporate_bn | float | Projected corporate income tax revenues. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| rev_customs_bn | float | Projected customs duties (tariff revenue). (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| outlays_bn | float | Total projected federal outlays. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| outlays_gdp_pct | float | Total projected federal outlays as % of GDP. (unit: Percent of GDP (CBO baseline).) |
| outlays_discretionary_bn | float | Projected discretionary outlays. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| outlays_discretionary_gdp_pct | float | Projected discretionary outlays as % of GDP. (unit: Percent of GDP (CBO baseline).) |
| outlays_mandatory_bn | float | Projected mandatory outlays. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| outlays_mandatory_gdp_pct | float | Projected mandatory outlays as % of GDP. (unit: Percent of GDP (CBO baseline).) |
| outlay_disc_defense_bn | float | Projected defense discretionary outlays. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| outlay_disc_defense_gdp_pct | float | Projected defense discretionary outlays as % of GDP. (unit: Percent of GDP (CBO baseline).) |
| outlay_disc_nondefense_bn | float | Projected nondefense discretionary outlays. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| outlay_disc_nondefense_gdp_pct | float | Projected nondefense discretionary outlays as % of GDP. (unit: Percent of GDP (CBO baseline).) |
| outlay_mand_social_security_bn | float | Projected Social Security mandatory outlays. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| outlay_mand_social_security_gdp_pct | float | Projected Social Security outlays as % of GDP. (unit: Percent of GDP (CBO baseline).) |
| outlay_mand_medicare_bn | float | Projected Medicare mandatory outlays. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| outlay_mand_medicare_gdp_pct | float | Projected Medicare outlays as % of GDP. (unit: Percent of GDP (CBO baseline).) |
| outlay_mand_medicaid_bn | float | Projected Medicaid mandatory outlays. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| outlay_mand_medicaid_gdp_pct | float | Projected Medicaid outlays as % of GDP. (unit: Percent of GDP (CBO baseline).) |
| net_interest_bn | float | Projected net interest outlays. (unit: Billions of dollars (CBO baseline).) |
| net_interest_gdp_pct | float | Projected net interest as % of GDP. (unit: Percent of GDP (CBO baseline).) |
| net_interest_share_revenues_pct | float | Derived: 100 * net_interest_bn / revenues_bn — net interest as a share of revenues (the interest-burden read). (unit: percent) |
| debt_gdp_yoy_pp | float | Derived: year-over-year change in the debt-to-GDP ratio, in percentage points (null for the first panel year). (unit: percentage points) |
| deficit_yoy_bn | float | Derived: year-over-year change in the deficit level in billions of dollars (null for the first panel year). (unit: billions of dollars) |
| debt_rising_flag | integer | Derived: 1 when the debt-to-GDP ratio rises year over year, else 0 (first panel year carries 0: no prior basis). (unit: flag) |
| vintage | string | CBO data vintage as YYYY-MM (annual_fy_<vintage>.csv). (unit: string) |
| row_hash | string | Deterministic 16-hex sha256 of fiscal_year + the deficit and debt levels (idempotency key). (unit: string) |
First 10 sample rows — a preview, not the complete dataset.
| fiscal_year | fiscal_year_label | country | country_code | deficit_bn | primary_deficit_bn | debt_public_bn | debt_gdp_pct | debt_gross_bn | revenues_bn | rev_individual_bn | rev_payroll_bn | rev_corporate_bn | rev_customs_bn | outlays_bn | outlays_gdp_pct | outlays_discretionary_bn | outlays_discretionary_gdp_pct | outlays_mandatory_bn | outlays_mandatory_gdp_pct | outlay_disc_defense_bn | outlay_disc_defense_gdp_pct | outlay_disc_nondefense_bn | outlay_disc_nondefense_gdp_pct | outlay_mand_social_security_bn | outlay_mand_social_security_gdp_pct | outlay_mand_medicare_bn | outlay_mand_medicare_gdp_pct | outlay_mand_medicaid_bn | outlay_mand_medicaid_gdp_pct | net_interest_bn | net_interest_gdp_pct | net_interest_share_revenues_pct | debt_gdp_yoy_pp | deficit_yoy_bn | debt_rising_flag | vintage | row_hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,025 | FY2025 | United States | USA | -1,775.37 | -805.432 | 30,172.402 | 99.375 | 37,373.25 | 5,234.616 | 2,656.044 | 1,748.294 | 452.089 | 194.866 | 7,009.986 | 23.088 | 1,872.425 | 6.167 | 4,167.623 | 13.726 | 892.548 | 2.94 | 979.877 | 3.227 | 1,575.309 | 5.188 | 1,179.972 | 3.886 | 668.134 | 2.201 | 969.938 | 3.195 | 18.529 | — | — | 0 | 2026-02 | 92dc92e35f8b893e |
| 2,026 | FY2026 | United States | USA | -1,852.703 | -813.727 | 32,095.165 | 100.605 | 39,430.46 | 5,595.916 | 2,751.291 | 1,825.573 | 403.979 | 418.388 | 7,448.619 | 23.348 | 1,880.304 | 5.894 | 4,529.339 | 14.198 | 884.513 | 2.773 | 995.791 | 3.121 | 1,665.942 | 5.222 | 1,286.868 | 4.034 | 707.865 | 2.219 | 1,038.976 | 3.257 | 18.567 | 1.23 | -77.333 | 1 | 2026-02 | b96f396ff339d99f |
| 2,027 | FY2027 | United States | USA | -1,887.203 | -779.488 | 34,004.52 | 102.069 | 41,278.599 | 5,885.198 | 2,947.025 | 1,896.664 | 419.298 | 421.103 | 7,772.401 | 23.33 | 1,881.639 | 5.648 | 4,783.047 | 14.357 | 901.101 | 2.705 | 980.538 | 2.943 | 1,768.983 | 5.31 | 1,373.623 | 4.123 | 726.198 | 2.18 | 1,107.715 | 3.325 | 18.822 | 1.464 | -34.5 | 1 | 2026-02 | 571680c04061b56e |
| 2,028 | FY2028 | United States | USA | -2,079.658 | -861.834 | 36,092.745 | 104.116 | 43,297.131 | 6,071.468 | 3,044.174 | 1,970.161 | 432.534 | 423.59 | 8,151.126 | 23.513 | 1,928.754 | 5.564 | 5,004.548 | 14.437 | 928.172 | 2.677 | 1,000.582 | 2.886 | 1,875.116 | 5.409 | 1,533.279 | 4.423 | 746.038 | 2.152 | 1,217.824 | 3.513 | 20.058 | 2.047 | -192.455 | 1 | 2026-02 | f588e2c0dbfe6c85 |
| 2,029 | FY2029 | United States | USA | -2,019.715 | -695.219 | 38,102.757 | 105.811 | 45,192.413 | 6,319.789 | 3,193.323 | 2,048.466 | 451.539 | 417.458 | 8,339.504 | 23.159 | 1,948.404 | 5.411 | 5,066.604 | 14.07 | 938.416 | 2.606 | 1,009.988 | 2.805 | 1,978.541 | 5.494 | 1,470.2 | 4.083 | 753.511 | 2.093 | 1,324.496 | 3.678 | 20.958 | 1.695 | 59.943 | 1 | 2026-02 | 3f6e045224db6a10 |
| 2,030 | FY2030 | United States | USA | -2,200.642 | -768.806 | 40,279.639 | 107.726 | 47,191.994 | 6,594.999 | 3,338.979 | 2,131.557 | 477.34 | 412.427 | 8,795.641 | 23.524 | 1,988.633 | 5.319 | 5,375.172 | 14.376 | 965.808 | 2.583 | 1,022.825 | 2.736 | 2,082.769 | 5.57 | 1,648.614 | 4.409 | 776.778 | 2.077 | 1,431.836 | 3.829 | 21.711 | 1.915 | -180.927 | 1 | 2026-02 | f9141c5f18e50290 |
| 2,031 | FY2031 | United States | USA | -2,285.695 | -737.312 | 42,528.336 | 109.573 | 49,218.173 | 6,869.493 | 3,461.053 | 2,216.305 | 493.465 | 405.242 | 9,155.188 | 23.588 | 2,024.414 | 5.216 | 5,582.391 | 14.383 | 985.535 | 2.539 | 1,038.879 | 2.677 | 2,189.776 | 5.642 | 1,752.64 | 4.516 | 803.767 | 2.071 | 1,548.383 | 3.989 | 22.54 | 1.847 | -85.053 | 1 | 2026-02 | 0c5a59c5039a6c0e |
| 2,032 | FY2032 | United States | USA | -2,439.418 | -768.971 | 44,922.49 | 111.535 | 51,480.329 | 7,129.682 | 3,594.393 | 2,301.556 | 509.962 | 389.307 | 9,569.1 | 23.759 | 2,063.236 | 5.123 | 5,835.417 | 14.488 | 1,006.461 | 2.499 | 1,056.775 | 2.624 | 2,298.339 | 5.706 | 1,866.597 | 4.634 | 833.971 | 2.071 | 1,670.447 | 4.147 | 23.429 | 1.962 | -153.723 | 1 | 2026-02 | 863a07e0b4f0fa58 |
| 2,033 | FY2033 | United States | USA | -2,780.735 | -996.371 | 47,644.187 | 113.992 | 54,379.43 | 7,391.476 | 3,743.854 | 2,388.562 | 525.923 | 382.307 | 10,172.211 | 24.338 | 2,110.982 | 5.051 | 6,276.865 | 15.018 | 1,034.483 | 2.475 | 1,076.499 | 2.576 | 2,408.571 | 5.763 | 2,122.822 | 5.079 | 870.449 | 2.083 | 1,784.364 | 4.269 | 24.141 | 2.457 | -341.317 | 1 | 2026-02 | 2ee05c9df38eaacb |
| 2,034 | FY2034 | United States | USA | -2,818.5 | -914.749 | 50,393.853 | 116.186 | 57,358.719 | 7,668.923 | 3,902.609 | 2,477.672 | 539.067 | 381.592 | 10,487.423 | 24.179 | 2,147.01 | 4.95 | 6,436.662 | 14.84 | 1,050.676 | 2.422 | 1,096.334 | 2.528 | 2,519.408 | 5.809 | 2,153.252 | 4.964 | 905.377 | 2.087 | 1,903.751 | 4.389 | 24.824 | 2.194 | -37.765 | 1 | 2026-02 | be2ab007212eb52e |
- Current
20260930T143632Z-4d4e234d7262 · sha256 4d4e234d7262…
12 rows · first snapshot
Point any LLM at the metadata endpoint — the documentation above is machine-readable too (JSON-LD + Croissant).
curl "https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/cbo_budget_projections_intel/cbo_ten_year_budget_baseline" | jq '{title, rows, columns_count, license}'import requests
ds = requests.get("https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/cbo_budget_projections_intel/cbo_ten_year_budget_baseline").json()
print(ds["title"], ds["rows"], "rows")
# Sample rows for an LLM context window
for row in ds.get("sample_rows", [])[:5]:
print(row)API endpoint: https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/cbo_budget_projections_intel/cbo_ten_year_budget_baseline
Tip: fetch /llms.txt for the full machine-readable catalog.
Where this data comes from and what was made from it. Other people's work shows as counts; only shared projects are named.
Cite this snapshot
Pinned to snapshot 20260930T143632Z-4d4e234d7262 and its content hash, so readers get exactly the data you used.
CBO 10-Year Budget Baseline Projections (keyless). (2026). CBO 10-year US budget baseline, annual [Data set, snapshot 20260930T143632Z-4d4e234d7262, sha256 4d4e234d7262]. Datazimuts. Retrieved 2026-10-01, from https://datazimuts.com/en/datasets/cbo_budget_projections_intel/cbo_ten_year_budget_baseline?snapshot=20260930T143632Z-4d4e234d7262
@misc{dz_cbo_budget_projections_intel_cbo_ten_yea_4d4e234d,
title = {{CBO 10-year US budget baseline, annual}},
author = {{CBO 10-Year Budget Baseline Projections (keyless)}},
year = {2026},
publisher = {Datazimuts},
howpublished = {\url{https://datazimuts.com/en/datasets/cbo_budget_projections_intel/cbo_ten_year_budget_baseline?snapshot=20260930T143632Z-4d4e234d7262}},
note = {Snapshot 20260930T143632Z-4d4e234d7262, sha256 4d4e234d7262a2a894e4865ea82f019a594d4e54f5749c33389d976562692654; accessed 2026-10-01}
}Embed a table or a chart
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<iframe src="https://datazimuts.com/embed/chart?dataset=cbo_budget_projections_intel%2Fcbo_ten_year_budget_baseline&lang=en&theme=auto&snapshot=20260930T143632Z-4d4e234d7262&x=fiscal_year&y=fiscal_year&agg=avg" title="CBO 10-year US budget baseline, annual" width="100%" height="380" style="border:0" loading="lazy"></iframe>
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