US business inventory cycle: inventories-to-sales panel (monthly)
Monthly US business-inventory-cycle panel, 1992-01 onward: total business inventories (Census MTIS, $M, SA) and the inventories-to-sales ratio (months of sales on hand), redistributed keyless via FRED fredgraph.csv. Carries MoM/YoY momentum in inventories and the ratio, an implied total-business sales level with its YoY change, the ratio's deviation from its trailing-12m average, a look-ahead-free 0-100 inventory-overhang score (the ratio's trailing-36m percentile), documented lean/balanced/building/overhang regimes, and destocking/restocking flags (ratio down/up >= 0.05 YoY). One row per month both Census series published; any null fails loudly. Who joins this: demand forecasters watch the overhang regime for discounting and order cutbacks; retail and wholesale planners use destocking_flag as the restock-order signal; macro models read a rising ratio as a production-slowdown precursor.
Les titres et les descriptions proviennent des sources de données, en anglais.
- Lignes
- 415
- Colonnes
- 19
- Cadence de la source
- Mensuelle
- Dernière actualisation
- 1 oct. 2026
- Thème
- economy
| Colonne | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| date | date | Reference month (first day) on which both Census MTIS series published (panel join key). The panel grid is a complete monthly grid from 1992-01; any missing month fails loudly, never imputed. (unit: date) |
| year_month | string | Calendar month as YYYY-MM. (unit: string) |
| country | string | Country name (shared normalization layer). (unit: string) |
| country_code | string | ISO 3166-1 alpha-3 country code (USA). (unit: string) |
| inv_total_musd | float | Total business inventories (FRED BUSINV): end-of-period stock across manufacturing, wholesale and retail, millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted. The panel's stock level. (unit: millions of dollars, SA) |
| is_ratio | float | Total business inventories-to-sales ratio (FRED ISRATIO): end-of-month inventories divided by monthly sales — the months of sales sitting on shelves, seasonally adjusted. The panel's cycle gauge: rising = overhang building, falling = shelves clearing. (unit: ratio, SA) |
| sales_total_musd | float | Implied total-business sales level, millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted: inv_total_musd / is_ratio. Derived locally, not a Census publication. (unit: millions of dollars, SA) |
| inv_mom_pct | float | Month-over-month percent change in total business inventories. Null for the first month. (unit: percent) |
| inv_yoy_pct | float | Year-over-year percent change in total business inventories. Null for the first 12 months. (unit: percent) |
| sales_yoy_pct | float | Year-over-year percent change in implied total-business sales. Null for the first 12 months. (unit: percent) |
| is_ratio_mom_pp | float | Month-over-month change in the inventories-to-sales ratio, ratio points. Null for the first month. (unit: ratio points) |
| is_ratio_yoy_pp | float | Year-over-year change in the inventories-to-sales ratio, ratio points. The cycle momentum lens behind the destocking/restocking flags. Null for the first 12 months. (unit: ratio points) |
| is_ratio_12m_ma | float | Trailing-12-month average of the inventories-to-sales ratio. Null for the first 11 months. (unit: ratio, SA) |
| is_ratio_vs_12m_ma_pp | float | Deviation of the inventories-to-sales ratio from its trailing-12-month average, ratio points. Positive = ratio running hot vs the recent norm. Null for the first 11 months. (unit: ratio points) |
| overhang_score | float | 0-100 inventory-overhang score: the look-ahead-free percentile of the current inventories-to-sales ratio within its trailing-36-month window (min 12 obs). 100 = the heaviest overhang in 3 years; 0 = the leanest. Drives overhang_regime. (unit: 0-100 score) |
| overhang_regime | string | Documented overhang regime from the score: lean (<25), balanced (25-50), building (50-75), overhang (>=75). Null while the score is null. (unit: string) |
| destocking_flag | integer | 1 when the inventories-to-sales ratio fell >= 0.05 ratio points year over year — demand clearing shelves faster than supply replenishes (restock-order signal). 0/1 integer. (unit: 0/1 flag) |
| restocking_flag | integer | 1 when the inventories-to-sales ratio rose >= 0.05 ratio points year over year — stock accumulating faster than sales (overhang precursor: discounting and order cutbacks ahead). 0/1 integer. (unit: 0/1 flag) |
| row_hash | string | Deterministic sha256[:16] over date|inv_total_musd|is_ratio; stable across re-ingests of identical upstream data, changes on any revision. (unit: string) |
10 premières lignes d’exemple — un aperçu, pas le jeu de données complet.
| date | year_month | country | country_code | inv_total_musd | is_ratio | sales_total_musd | inv_mom_pct | inv_yoy_pct | sales_yoy_pct | is_ratio_mom_pp | is_ratio_yoy_pp | is_ratio_12m_ma | is_ratio_vs_12m_ma_pp | overhang_score | overhang_regime | destocking_flag | restocking_flag | row_hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992-01-01 | 1992-01 | United States | USA | 800 927 | 1,56 | 513 414,744 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 92a5c9248f529ada |
| 1992-02-01 | 1992-02 | United States | USA | 802 413 | 1,56 | 514 367,308 | 0,186 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | a24df52427f0b7a5 |
| 1992-03-01 | 1992-03 | United States | USA | 806 267 | 1,53 | 526 971,895 | 0,48 | — | — | -0,03 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 8fd957be6497e7d1 |
| 1992-04-01 | 1992-04 | United States | USA | 808 718 | 1,53 | 528 573,856 | 0,304 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 36f01765f7e0d098 |
| 1992-05-01 | 1992-05 | United States | USA | 808 186 | 1,52 | 531 701,316 | -0,066 | — | — | -0,01 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 6675803efc19b6e4 |
| 1992-06-01 | 1992-06 | United States | USA | 813 573 | 1,52 | 535 245,395 | 0,667 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 96db30c7236fae91 |
| 1992-07-01 | 1992-07 | United States | USA | 817 069 | 1,51 | 541 105,298 | 0,43 | — | — | -0,01 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 55dda5b7441ba005 |
| 1992-08-01 | 1992-08 | United States | USA | 819 296 | 1,53 | 535 487,582 | 0,273 | — | — | 0,02 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | ff5b0035a1683a9f |
| 1992-09-01 | 1992-09 | United States | USA | 820 056 | 1,51 | 543 083,444 | 0,093 | — | — | -0,02 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 9889f76773e24fec |
| 1992-10-01 | 1992-10 | United States | USA | 820 439 | 1,51 | 543 337,086 | 0,047 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 1ccf9384f0d0b34a |
Profilé le 1 oct. 2026 à partir de l’instantané 20261001T154945Z-dc53f8827c79
Mesuré- Complétude
- 98,4 %
- Lignes
- 415
- Colonnes
- 19
- Colonnes incomplètes
- 9
| Colonne | Manquant | Distinctes | Plage | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| datedate | 0 % | 385 | 1 janv. 1992 → 1 juill. 2026 | — |
| year_monthvarchar | 0 % | 408 | — |
|
| countryvarchar | 0 % | 1 | — |
|
| country_codevarchar | 0 % | 1 | — |
|
| inv_total_musddouble | 0 % | 433 | 800 927 → 2 764 708médiane 1 433 845 | 10 hors du 1er–99e centile |
| is_ratiodouble | 0 % | 29 | 1,24 → 1,74médiane 1,38 | 5 hors du 1er–99e centile |
| sales_total_musddouble | 0 % | 339 | 513 415 → 2 140 002médiane 1 108 680 | 10 hors du 1er–99e centile |
| inv_mom_pctdouble | 0,24 % | 396 | -2,34 → 2,57médiane 0,3079 | 10 hors du 1er–99e centile |
| inv_yoy_pctdouble | 2,9 % | 380 | -14,15 → 21,62médiane 3,64 | 10 hors du 1er–99e centile |
| sales_yoy_pctdouble | 2,9 % | 432 | -20,64 → 41,32médiane 4,61 | 10 hors du 1er–99e centile |
| is_ratio_mom_ppdouble | 0,24 % | 23 | -0,18 → 0,23médiane 0 | 10 hors du 1er–99e centile |
| is_ratio_yoy_ppdouble | 2,9 % | 69 | -0,48 → 0,33médiane -0,01 | 10 hors du 1er–99e centile |
| is_ratio_12m_madouble | 2,7 % | 243 | 1,26 → 1,53médiane 1,38 | 8 hors du 1er–99e centile |
| is_ratio_vs_12m_ma_ppdouble | 2,7 % | 207 | -0,12 → 0,2808médiane -0,0042 | 10 hors du 1er–99e centile |
| overhang_scoredouble | 8,4 % | 33 | 2,78 → 100médiane 44,44 | 30 hors du 1er–99e centile |
| overhang_regimevarchar | 8,4 % | 4 | — |
|
| destocking_flagbigint | 0 % | 2 | 0 → 1médiane 0 | |
| restocking_flagbigint | 0 % | 2 | 0 → 1médiane 0 | |
| row_hashvarchar | 0 % | 474 | — |
|
- Actuelle
20261001T154945Z-dc53f8827c79 · sha256 dc53f8827c79…
415 lignes · premier instantané
Dirigez n’importe quel LLM vers le point d’accès des métadonnées — la documentation ci-dessus est aussi lisible par machine (JSON-LD + Croissant).
curl "https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/us_inventory_cycle_intel/us_business_inventory_cycle_monthly" | jq '{title, rows, columns_count, license}'import requests
ds = requests.get("https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/us_inventory_cycle_intel/us_business_inventory_cycle_monthly").json()
print(ds["title"], ds["rows"], "rows")
# Sample rows for an LLM context window
for row in ds.get("sample_rows", [])[:5]:
print(row)Point d’accès API : https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/us_inventory_cycle_intel/us_business_inventory_cycle_monthly
Astuce : récupérez /llms.txt pour le catalogue complet lisible par machine.
D’où viennent ces données et ce qui en a été fait. Le travail des autres apparaît sous forme de décomptes ; seuls les projets partagés sont nommés.
Citer cet instantané
Épinglé à l’instantané 20261001T154945Z-dc53f8827c79 et à son empreinte, pour que vos lecteurs obtiennent exactement les données utilisées.
US Business-Inventory-Cycle Intelligence (Census MTIS via FRED, keyless). (2026). US business inventory cycle: inventories-to-sales panel (monthly) [Data set, snapshot 20261001T154945Z-dc53f8827c79, sha256 dc53f8827c79]. Datazimuts. Retrieved 2026-10-02, from https://datazimuts.com/fr/datasets/us_inventory_cycle_intel/us_business_inventory_cycle_monthly?snapshot=20261001T154945Z-dc53f8827c79
@misc{dz_us_inventory_cycle_intel_us_business_inv_dc53f882,
title = {{US business inventory cycle: inventories-to-sales panel (monthly)}},
author = {{US Business-Inventory-Cycle Intelligence (Census MTIS via FRED, keyless)}},
year = {2026},
publisher = {Datazimuts},
howpublished = {\url{https://datazimuts.com/fr/datasets/us_inventory_cycle_intel/us_business_inventory_cycle_monthly?snapshot=20261001T154945Z-dc53f8827c79}},
note = {Snapshot 20261001T154945Z-dc53f8827c79, sha256 dc53f8827c79df7a017688d318172865b37dbc3eea59807e5e93f68af195c1c8; accessed 2026-10-02}
}Intégrer un tableau ou un graphique
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<iframe src="https://datazimuts.com/embed/chart?dataset=us_inventory_cycle_intel%2Fus_business_inventory_cycle_monthly&lang=fr&theme=auto&snapshot=20261001T154945Z-dc53f8827c79&x=date&y=inv_total_musd&agg=avg" title="US business inventory cycle: inventories-to-sales panel (monthly)" width="100%" height="380" style="border:0" loading="lazy"></iframe>
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