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Open datasets, fully documented — searchable here, and readable by any LLM.

80 datasets

volatility
  • State Housing-Momentum Signals (derived)

    US state housing-momentum signals (FHFA HPI boom/bust gauges)

    Quarterly housing-momentum signals derived from FHFA All-Transactions House Price Indexes (FRED, 50 states + DC + US national, 1975 ->): quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year price changes, 30-quarter change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing-12-quarter baseline, drift forecasts, per-quarter cross-state volatility ranks, state-vs-nation divergence gaps, 10-year house-price z-scores, cycle-position percentiles, and boom/cooldown flags. The state-breadth companion to the national housing signals. Country codes normalized to ISO alpha-3 (USA). Raw data: Federal Housing Finance Agency via FRED.

    • housing
    • house-prices
    • fhfa
    • hpi
    rows
    10,712
    Quality
    100
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • US State Unemployment Signals (derived)

    US state unemployment signals (50 states + DC, regional divergence, anomalies)

    Value-added regional labor signals derived from FRED's free BLS state unemployment-rate series: all 50 states plus the District of Columbia, monthly seasonally adjusted. Each row carries change volatility, 3-month momentum, 12-month change (pp), a trailing-1y rate z-score, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-month cross-state volatility rank, and the cross-state unemployment dispersion gauge (regional labor-market divergence). All computation is local pandas/numpy; no paid models or APIs.

    • unemployment
    • labor-market
    • regional
    • states
    rows
    30,957
    Quality
    100
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • Sticky vs Flexible Inflation Signals (derived)

    US sticky vs flexible inflation signals (underlying inflation gauge, persistence regime)

    Monthly signals derived from the Atlanta Fed's sticky-price and flexible-price CPI series (redistributed by FRED, 1968 ->; both series are published as 12-month percent changes): 30-month annualized point-change volatility, 3-month point-change momentum, the 12-month percent change itself, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-month baseline, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-month cross-series volatility rank, the sticky-minus-flexible spread (pp — the underlying-inflation gauge) and a 10-year sticky-inflation z-score (the persistence-regime gauge). All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED); underlying data: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.

    • inflation
    • sticky-prices
    • core-inflation
    • cpi
    rows
    1,408
    Quality
    99
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • Global Terms-of-Trade Signals (derived)

    Sub-Saharan African terms-of-trade signals (price-competitiveness gauges)

    Annual terms-of-trade signals derived from the IMF DataMapper (terms-of-trade index, 2010 = 100, 47 Sub-Saharan African economies, 2004 ->): 1-year and 3-year changes, 30-year change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing-10-year baseline, naive-drift 1-year forecasts, per-year cross-country volatility ranks, 10-year index z-scores, 5-year percent shifts, and sustained improvement / deterioration / shock-year flags. The global price-competitiveness companion to the trade-flow signals. Country codes normalized to verified ISO alpha-3. Raw data: International Monetary Fund (DataMapper, keyless API).

    • terms-of-trade
    • trade
    • competitiveness
    • export-prices
    rows
    1,120
    Quality
    90
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    License unclear
  • Treasury Foreign-Holdings Signals (derived)

    US Treasury foreign-holdings signals (TIC buying/selling flows, holder concentration, anomalies)

    Monthly signals derived from the US Treasury's TIC portfolio-holdings data (redistributed by FRED): 30-month annualized change volatility, 3-month momentum, year-over-year change, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-month baseline, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-month cross-holder volatility rank, the 12-month buying/selling flow gauge (millions of dollars) and each holder's share of total foreign holdings (the concentration gauge). Covers all-foreign holdings plus Japan, China and Canada. Rows are normalized by holder country_code (WLD/JPN/CHN/CAN) so they join cleanly with cross-country data. Underlying data: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Treasury International Capital.

    • treasuries
    • foreign-holdings
    • tic
    • capital-flows
    rows
    1,128
    Quality
    99
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • Trade Balance Signals (derived)

    US trade balance signals (deficit tracker, export/import momentum, anomalies, forecasts)

    Signals derived from FRED's US international-trade series: 30-period annualized volatility of changes, 3-month momentum, year-over-year level change (balance series cross zero, so YoY is a level change, not a percent), 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-date cross-series volatility rank, and a monthly trade-deficit tracker (positive = deficit) mapped onto every row's month. Covers BOPGSTB (monthly trade balance, goods & services), EXPGS/IMPGS (quarterly real exports/imports of goods & services) and NETEXP (quarterly real net exports). All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED); underlying data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

    • trade
    • trade-balance
    • trade-deficit
    • exports
    rows
    1,369
    Quality
    98
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • US Trade-Price Signals (derived)

    US trade price signals (import/export prices, terms of trade, China price trend spread)

    Monthly US trade-price signals derived from FRED: BLS import and export price indices for all commodities plus the China-origin import price index, with 1-month and year-on-year percent changes, 30-month annualized change volatility, 3-month momentum, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-month baseline, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-month cross-series volatility rank, the terms of trade (export/import prices) and the China-vs-world import price trend spread. All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED); underlying survey: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, International Price Program.

    • trade
    • import-prices
    • export-prices
    • terms-of-trade
    rows
    1,222
    Quality
    99
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • Trimmed-Mean Inflation Signals (derived)

    US trimmed-mean inflation signals (Dallas Fed underlying-inflation gauges)

    Monthly underlying-inflation signals from the Dallas Fed trimmed-mean PCE rate (redistributed by FRED, 1977-01 ->): 3-month momentum, 30-month change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-month baseline, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, cross-series ranks, the trimmed-mean-vs-headline and trimmed-mean-vs-core PCE spreads, and above-target (>2%) / high-underlying (>3%) regime flags. All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED); underlying data: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

    • inflation
    • trimmed-mean
    • pce
    • dallas-fed
    rows
    2,181
    Quality
    99
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • UK Mortgage & Pass-Through Signals (derived)

    UK mortgage & rate pass-through signals (mortgage momentum, bank-rate pass-through spread, anomalies, forecasts)

    Signals derived from the Bank of England's Statistical Interactive Database: 30-period annualized volatility of monthly rate changes, 3-month momentum, year-over-year change, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-month cross-series volatility rank, and the bank-rate-to-mortgage pass-through spread (quoted 2-year fixed 75% LTV mortgage minus Bank Rate). Covers IUMBV34 (quoted 2-yr fixed mortgage rate), IUDBEDR (official Bank Rate) and IUDSOIA (SONIA overnight average; daily series aggregated to monthly averages). All rows are normalized to country_code GBR so they join cleanly with UK data. Raw series: Bank of England (IADB), free and keyless.

    • mortgage-rates
    • bank-rate
    • pass-through
    • interest-rates
    rows
    1,070
    Quality
    98
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • UK Price Heat Signals (derived)

    UK category inflation heat signals (CPIH by COICOP division, inflation breadth, anomalies)

    Monthly ML-enriched UK inflation signals derived from ONS CPIH by-category indices (12 COICOP divisions, 1988 -> present): per-category year-over-year inflation with 30-month annualized change volatility, 3-month momentum, 3-sigma anomaly flags versus a trailing 12-month baseline, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-month cross-category volatility rank, plus a UK-wide inflation-breadth gauge (share of divisions running above 3% YoY). Raw data: Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0). Every row is country_code GBR and joins cleanly with UK macro datasets.

    • uk
    • inflation
    • cpih
    • ons
    rows
    5,797
    Quality
    100
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • US Fuel-Price Signals (derived)

    US fuel-price signals (pump-price shock and spread gauges)

    Monthly retail fuel-price signals derived from EIA data via FRED (regular gasoline and on-highway diesel, $/gal): month-on-month and year-on-year changes, 30-month change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing-12-month baseline, drift forecasts, per-month cross-series volatility ranks, the gasoline-diesel spread with a 3-year z-score, and pump-shock (>+15% in 3 months) and expensive (>$4/gal) flags. The US-side companion to the Canada fuel signals and the retail-price complement to wholesale crude. Country codes normalized to ISO alpha-3 (USA). Raw data: US Energy Information Administration via FRED.

    • fuel
    • gasoline
    • diesel
    • retail-prices
    rows
    819
    Quality
    100
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • US Natural-Gas Market Signals (derived)

    US natural-gas market signals (Henry Hub spike & regime gauges)

    Daily US natural-gas market signals from the EIA Henry Hub spot price (FRED DHHNGSP, 1997 ->, $/MMBtu): 90-day momentum, year-on-year change, 30-day change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift forecasts, price-spike day flags, an elevated-price ($5+) flag, a 5-year z-score, and a heating-season flag. The natural-gas companion to us-fuel-price-signals (pump prices) — gas moves on weather, storage, and LNG exports, with some of the sharpest spikes of any commodity. All rows normalized to country_code USA. Raw series: U.S. Energy Information Administration via FRED.

    • natural-gas
    • henry-hub
    • energy
    • commodity
    rows
    5,692
    Quality
    99
    Updated
    Sep 26, 2026
    Stale
    License
    Commercial use OK

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