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US trade price signals (import/export prices, terms of trade, China price trend spread)

Monthly US trade-price signals derived from FRED: BLS import and export price indices for all commodities plus the China-origin import price index, with 1-month and year-on-year percent changes, 30-month annualized change volatility, 3-month momentum, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-month baseline, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-month cross-series volatility rank, the terms of trade (export/import prices) and the China-vs-world import price trend spread. All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED); underlying survey: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, International Price Program.

Source: US Trade-Price Signals (derived)1,222 rowsUpdated: 9/22/2026
tradeimport-pricesexport-pricesterms-of-tradechinatariffscompetitivenessinflationblsmomentumvolatilityanomaly-detectionforecastingsignalsfred

Quality

98.8

Attribution

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED; underlying data: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, International Price Program; derived signals by Frontier Data Hub)

Schema

ColumnTypeDescription
datestringObservation date (FRED API field date; YYYY-MM-DD, first day of the reference month).
countrystring
country_codestring
series_idstringFRED series ID: IR (import prices), IQ (export prices) or CHNTOT (China-origin import prices); resolves to the series page at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/<id>.
series_labelstringOfficial FRED series title as published for the series (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, International Price Program).
valuefloatPrice index value as published by FRED for this series; see the series notes for the index base period and methodology.
mom_change_pctfloat
yoy_change_pctfloat
volatility_30dfloat
momentum_3mfloat
anomaly_flaginteger
forecast_1mfloat
rankinteger
terms_of_tradefloat
china_price_trend_spreadfloat

Sample rows

datecountrycountry_codeseries_idseries_labelvaluemom_change_pctyoy_change_pctvolatility_30dmomentum_3manomaly_flagforecast_1mrankterms_of_tradechina_price_trend_spread
1982-09-01United StatesUSAIRImport Price Index (End Use): All Commodities800
1982-12-01United StatesUSAIRImport Price Index (End Use): All Commodities79.9-0.124999999999997340
1983-03-01United StatesUSAIRImport Price Index (End Use): All Commodities77.7-2.75344180225282060
1983-06-01United StatesUSAIRImport Price Index (End Use): All Commodities77.80.12870012870012104-2.7500000000000080
1983-09-01United StatesUSAIQExport Price Index (End Use): All Commodities85.70110.43814432989691

Download sample data

Download the full sample snapshot for this dataset (sample rows, not the complete dataset).

Use with an LLM

Point any LLM at the metadata endpoint — the documentation above is machine-readable too (JSON-LD + Croissant).

cURL

curl "https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/tradeprice_signals/us_trade_price_signals" | jq '{title, rows, columns_count, license}'

Python

import requests

ds = requests.get("https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/tradeprice_signals/us_trade_price_signals").json()
print(ds["title"], ds["rows"], "rows")

# Sample rows for an LLM context window
for row in ds.get("sample_rows", [])[:5]:
    print(row)

API endpoint: https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/tradeprice_signals/us_trade_price_signals

Tip: fetch /llms.txt for the full machine-readable catalog.