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US core PCE inflation, monthly

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Monthly US core-inflation intelligence panel, 1959-01 onward: the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index excluding food and energy (chain-type index, 2017=100, seasonally adjusted; FRED PCEPILFE), the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. Carries 1-month, 3-month-annualized and 12-month percent changes plus an above_target_flag marking months where 12-month core inflation sits at or above the FOMC's 2% objective. Upstream: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Personal Income and Outlays release, redistributed keyless via FRED fredgraph.csv (restores the level series purged from the API-key FRED connector on 2026-09-29). Method caveats: chain-type indexes reweight continuously, so index levels are not comparable across distant eras without the percent changes; BEA revises history with annual updates. One row per month x USA; in-window nulls fail loudly, never imputed. Who joins this: online shops join pricing and demand on year_month + country_code; subscription businesses test whether above-target inflation months lead involuntary churn; sales teams weight pipeline by inflation regime.

Rows
811
Columns
10
Source cadence
Monthly
Last refreshed
Sep 30, 2026
Theme
economy

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