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Philly Fed SPF Expectations Intel

  • Philly Fed SPF Expectations Intel

    US professional forecaster expectations, quarterly

    Quarterly US professional-forecaster expectations intelligence, 1968-Q4 onward: median SPF forecasts for real GDP (nowcast/1q/4q levels), unemployment, CPI and PCE inflation (annualized quarterly rates), 3-month T-bill and 10-year T-bond yields, the 10-year-ahead CPI/PCE inflation anchors, and the long-run unemployment rate (UBAR), plus documented derived features — implied 4-quarter GDP growth, expected unemployment change, unemployment-vs-UBAR gap, inflation anchor gaps vs 2%, and survey-to-survey forecast revisions. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Survey of Professional Forecasters, median history workbook (keyless download, verified live 2026-10-02). commercial_use=no: the Philly Fed's terms limit site content to informational, educational, and research purposes — documented and searchable, never published or bulk-served.

    • forecasting
    • expectations
    • survey
    • macroeconomics
    rows
    232
    Quality
    90
    Updated
    Oct 2, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    No commercial use

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