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Data library

Open datasets, fully documented — searchable here, and readable by any LLM.

  • Global Household-Debt Signals (derived)

    Global household-debt signals (private leverage gauges)

    Annual household-leverage signals derived from the IMF DataMapper (total household debt, all instruments, % of GDP, 44 economies, 1950 ->): 1-year and 3-year changes, 30-year change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing-10-year baseline, naive-drift 1-year forecasts, per-year cross-country volatility ranks, 10-year debt z-scores, 5-year leverage build-up, and high-debt (>60% of GDP), rapid-rise, and deleveraging flags. The global private-leverage companion to the sovereign-debt signals. Country codes normalized to verified ISO alpha-3. Raw data: International Monetary Fund (DataMapper, keyless API).

    • household-debt
    • private-leverage
    • consumer-credit
    • deleveraging
    rows
    1,197
    Quality
    90
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    License unclear
  • Global Surface-Temperature Signals (derived)

    Global surface-temperature signals (GISTEMP warming gauges)

    Monthly global surface-temperature signals from NASA GISTEMP (global, Northern Hemisphere, Southern Hemisphere land-ocean indices, 1880 ->, anomalies vs 1951-1980): 3-month and 12-month changes, 30-month change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift forecasts, 10-year warmth z-scores, trailing-10-year warming trends (C/decade), record-warmth flags, and +1.5 C Paris-threshold flags. The planetary-outcome lens on climate change — the warming behind the CO2 driver (co2-growth), the ENSO driver (enso), and city heat extremes (city-climate-stress). All rows normalized to country_code WLD. Raw data: NASA GISS (keyless, public domain).

    • global-warming
    • temperature-anomaly
    • gistemp
    • nasa
    rows
    5,280
    Quality
    100
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • Harmonized-Unemployment Signals (derived)

    Global harmonized-unemployment signals (OECD, 20 economies)

    Monthly harmonized-unemployment signals for 20 major economies from the OECD's Infra-Annual Labor Statistics (ILO-harmonized definition, ages 15+, seasonally adjusted; redistributed by FRED): 3-month momentum, 30-month change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-month baseline, drift forecasts, per-month cross-country ranks, a 3-year labor-stress z-score, an elevated-labor-market flag, and a cross-country dispersion gauge for global labor-divergence. The cross-country companion to us-labor-market-signals (US depth) and euro-area-unemployment-signals (euro breadth): one comparable measure for spotting which labor markets crack first. All rows normalized to ISO alpha-3 country codes so they join cleanly with every other global dataset. Raw series: OECD via FRED (commercial re-use of OECD data requires prior permission — flagged in the UI).

    • unemployment
    • labor-market
    • oecd
    • harmonized
    rows
    10,478
    Quality
    97
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    No commercial use
  • Geopolitical-Risk Signals (derived)

    Geopolitical-risk signals (Caldara-Iacoviello GPR)

    Monthly geopolitical-risk signals from the Caldara-Iacoviello GPR data export (1985 -> latest): the benchmark GPR index plus the threats and acts subindices, with 1-month and 12-month changes, 30-month annualized change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags, drift forecasts, 5-year tension-regime z-scores, high-risk and spike flags, and the threat-minus-act spread. The news-risk lens on geopolitics — the geopolitical companion to the policy lens in epu-signals and the financial lens in finstress-signals. Raw data: Caldara & Iacoviello.

    • geopolitical-risk
    • gpr
    • news
    • risk
    rows
    1,500
    Quality
    92
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    License unclear
  • Health Burden Signals (derived)

    Global health burden signals (obesity trends, PM2.5 exposure, anomalies)

    Annual ML-enriched population-health signals for ~190 territories, derived from WHO Global Health Observatory data: adult obesity prevalence by sex, the 5-year obesity trend, annual mean PM2.5 concentration and the PM2.5 exceedance multiple versus the WHO 15 µg/m³ guideline, with 30-period change volatility, 3-year momentum, 3-sigma anomaly flags versus a trailing 10-year baseline, naive-drift 1-year forecasts, and a per-year cross-country volatility rank. Raw data: World Health Organization (non-commercial). All rows carry ISO alpha-3 country_code and join cleanly with other health datasets.

    • obesity
    • air-pollution
    • pm25
    • public-health
    rows
    40,397
    Quality
    96
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    No commercial use
  • Household Balance Signals (derived)

    US household balance signals (savings buffer, debt-service strain, savings/dsr anomalies)

    Monthly/quarterly signals derived from BEA and Federal Reserve household-finances data (redistributed by FRED): 30-period annualized change volatility, ~3-month momentum, year-over-year change in percentage points, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-month baseline, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-date cross-series volatility rank, and the household savings buffer (saving rate minus debt service ratio — the net cash-buffer gauge). Covers the personal saving rate and the household debt service ratio. All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED); underlying data: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

    • households
    • saving-rate
    • debt-service
    • consumer-finance
    rows
    896
    Quality
    98
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • Housing Market Signals (derived)

    US housing market signals (Case-Shiller YoY momentum, starts/permits, anomalies, forecasts)

    Signals derived from FRED's US housing series: 30-period annualized volatility of changes, 3-month momentum, year-over-year percent change (the Case-Shiller boom/bust gauge), 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-date cross-series volatility rank, and the permits-to-starts pipeline ratio. Covers HOUST (monthly housing starts), PERMIT (monthly building permits), CSUSHPISA (S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index), MORTGAGE30US (weekly 30-yr fixed mortgage rate) and HSN1F (monthly new one-family houses sold). All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED).

    • housing
    • real-estate
    • case-shiller
    • mortgage
    rows
    5,744
    Quality
    98
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • US Housing-Vacancy Signals (derived)

    US housing-vacancy signals (market tightness)

    Quarterly US housing-vacancy signals from the Census Bureau (FRED RRVRUSQ156N rental vacancy and RHVRUSQ156N homeowner vacancy, 1956-Q1 ->): 1-year momentum, year-on-year change, 4-quarter volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift forecasts, 5-year z-scores, a tight-rental-market (<7%) flag, and an elevated-homeowner-vacancy (>=2.5%) flag. The tightness lens on US housing — the direct gauge of supply/demand balance — complementing housing-signals (construction, prices, mortgage rates). All rows normalized to country_code USA. Raw series: U.S. Census Bureau (Housing Vacancy Survey) via FRED.

    • housing
    • vacancy
    • rental
    • tightness
    rows
    564
    Quality
    96
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • Global ILO Unemployment Signals (derived)

    Global ILO unemployment signals (labor-market breadth)

    Global unemployment signals from the ILO modeled estimates via World Bank WDI (~200 economies, annual 1991 ->): 10-year change, OLS trend slope, 3-sigma shock flags, 5-year linear-extrapolation forecasts, cross-country ranks, the female-minus-male gender gap, crisis/recovery flags and a 10-year z-score. The breadth companion to the OECD 20-country monthly set: every country's unemployment story on one harmonized grid. World Bank WDI (non-commercial terms).

    • unemployment
    • labor-market
    • ilo
    • world-bank
    rows
    20,643
    Quality
    96
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    No commercial use
  • IMF Commodity Price Index Signals (derived)

    Global commodity price index signals (IMF PCPS: energy/metals/food momentum, dislocation spreads, anomalies)

    Monthly/quarterly signals derived from the IMF Primary Commodity Price System indices (redistributed by FRED): 30-period annualized change volatility, ~3-month momentum, year-over-year change, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-month baseline, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-date cross-index volatility rank, and the energy-vs-food YoY spread (the commodity dislocation gauge). Covers the global energy, metals and food price indices plus the all-commodities index. All rows are normalized to country_code WLD (global benchmarks) so they join cleanly with other world macro data. Underlying data: International Monetary Fund, Primary Commodity Price System.

    • commodities
    • energy
    • metals
    • food
    rows
    1,383
    Quality
    92
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    License unclear
  • IMF Fiscal-Balance Signals (derived)

    IMF fiscal-balance signals (government net lending/borrowing)

    Annual fiscal-balance signals from the IMF DataMapper (1980 -> latest WEO vintage, projections kept as published): general government net lending/borrowing as % of GDP for ~229 economies, with 10-year changes, OLS trend slopes, 3-sigma anomaly flags, 5-year extrapolation forecasts, 10-year balance z-scores and stance gauges: deficit, large-deficit and surplus flags, the fiscal impulse (1-year balance change) and a consolidation flag. The fiscal-flow lens — the balance companion to the debt stock in imf-global-debt-signals. Raw indicator: International Monetary Fund DataMapper.

    • fiscal
    • deficit
    • surplus
    • government
    rows
    7,698
    Quality
    91
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    License unclear
  • IMF Global Real-GDP-Growth Signals (derived)

    IMF global real-GDP-growth signals (growth cycle)

    Annual global real-GDP-growth signals from the IMF DataMapper (NGDP_RPCH, ~190 economies, 1980 -> latest WEO vintage, projections kept as published): growth acceleration, 5-year changes, OLS trend slopes, 3-sigma anomaly flags, 5-year extrapolation forecasts, 10-year growth z-scores, per-year growth ranks, recession (negative growth) and high-growth (>=6%) flags. The growth-cycle lens on the world economy — the ML-enriched companion to the raw imf real-gdp-growth series. Country codes validated via the shared normalization layer. Raw indicator: International Monetary Fund DataMapper.

    • gdp
    • growth
    • business-cycle
    • recession
    rows
    9,289
    Quality
    92
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    License unclear

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