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US real yield & breakeven inflation signals (real curve slope, breakeven term spread, anomalies)

Daily/monthly signals derived from FRED's US real-yield and inflation-expectations series: 30-period annualized change volatility, ~3-month momentum, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-month baseline, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-date cross-series volatility rank, the 30Y-5Y real curve slope (the real-rate term-premium gauge) and the 30Y-vs-5Y breakeven term spread (long-run vs medium-term inflation expectations). Covers 5Y/7Y/20Y/30Y TIPS real yields, 5Y and 30Y breakeven inflation rates and the 10-year real interest rate. No overlap with the nominal-yield bond-market signals dataset. All rows are normalized to country_code USA. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED).

Source: Real Yield & Breakeven Inflation Signals (derived)28,226 lignesMis à jour: 22/09/2026
real-yieldstipsbreakeven-inflationinflation-expectationsyield-curveterm-premiumvolatilitymomentumanomaly-detectionforecastingsignalsfred

Qualité

98.7

Attribution

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED; derived signals by Frontier Data Hub)

Schéma

ColonneTypeDescription
datestringObservation date (FRED API field date; YYYY-MM-DD).
countrystring
country_codestring
series_idstringFRED series ID, e.g. DFII5, DFII30, T5YIE, T30YIEM, REAINTRATREARAT10Y; resolves to the series page at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/<id>.
series_labelstringOfficial FRED series title as published for the series.
valuefloatObservation value as published by FRED for this series, in percent: TIPS real yields (DFII5/DFII7/DFII20/DFII30), breakeven inflation rates (T5YIE, T30YIEM) and the 10-year real interest rate (REAINTRATREARAT10Y); see the series notes for methodology and revisions.
volatility_30dfloat
momentum_3mfloat
anomaly_flaginteger
forecast_1mfloat
rankinteger
real_curve_slopefloat
breakeven_term_spreadfloat

Exemple de lignes

datecountrycountry_codeseries_idseries_labelvaluevolatility_30dmomentum_3manomaly_flagforecast_1mrankreal_curve_slopebreakeven_term_spread
1982-01-01United StatesUSAREAINTRATREARAT10Y10-Year Real Interest Rate7.623742310
1982-02-01United StatesUSAREAINTRATREARAT10Y10-Year Real Interest Rate7.656648070
1982-03-01United StatesUSAREAINTRATREARAT10Y10-Year Real Interest Rate7.128993370
1982-04-01United StatesUSAREAINTRATREARAT10Y10-Year Real Interest Rate7.40834717-0.215395140000000040
1982-05-01United StatesUSAREAINTRATREARAT10Y10-Year Real Interest Rate7.32004091-0.33660715999999980

Télécharger un échantillon

Téléchargez l'échantillon complet de ce jeu de données (lignes d'exemple, pas le jeu complet).

Utiliser avec un LLM

Dirigez n’importe quel LLM vers le point d’accès des métadonnées — la documentation ci-dessus est aussi lisible par machine (JSON-LD + Croissant).

cURL

curl "https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/realyield_signals/us_real_yield_breakeven_signals" | jq '{title, rows, columns_count, license}'

Python

import requests

ds = requests.get("https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/realyield_signals/us_real_yield_breakeven_signals").json()
print(ds["title"], ds["rows"], "rows")

# Sample rows for an LLM context window
for row in ds.get("sample_rows", [])[:5]:
    print(row)

Point d’accès API: https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/realyield_signals/us_real_yield_breakeven_signals

Astuce : récupérez /llms.txt pour le catalogue complet lisible par machine.

US real yield & breakeven inflation signals (real curve slope, breakeven term spread, anomalies)