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Geopolitical-risk signals (Caldara-Iacoviello GPR)

Monthly geopolitical-risk signals from the Caldara-Iacoviello GPR data export (1985 -> latest): the benchmark GPR index plus the threats and acts subindices, with 1-month and 12-month changes, 30-month annualized change volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags, drift forecasts, 5-year tension-regime z-scores, high-risk and spike flags, and the threat-minus-act spread. The news-risk lens on geopolitics — the geopolitical companion to the policy lens in epu-signals and the financial lens in finstress-signals. Raw data: Caldara & Iacoviello.

Source: Geopolitical-Risk Signals (derived)1,500 lignesMis à jour: 22/09/2026
geopolitical-riskgprnewsriskthreatsmomentumvolatilityanomaly-detectionforecastingsignalsmacroeconomics

Qualité

92

Attribution

Caldara & Iacoviello, Geopolitical Risk index (derived signals by Frontier Data Hub)

Schéma

ColonneTypeDescription
datestringReference month (GPR is a monthly index).
countrystringWorld (the GPR index is global).
country_codestringStable World aggregate code: WLD.
series_idstringGPR series code: GPR (benchmark index), GPRT (threats subindex) or GPRA (acts subindex).
series_labelstringSeries label as documented on the GPR page.
valuefloatGeopolitical Risk index value as published: the index is normalized so that its 2000-2009 average equals 100.
momentum_3mfloat
yoy_change_pctfloat
volatility_30dfloat
anomaly_flaginteger
forecast_1mfloat
rankinteger
gpr_z_5yfloat
high_risk_flaginteger
spike_flaginteger
threat_act_spreadfloat

Exemple de lignes

datecountrycountry_codeseries_idseries_labelvaluemomentum_3myoy_change_pctvolatility_30danomaly_flagforecast_1mrankgpr_z_5yhigh_risk_flagspike_flagthreat_act_spread
1985-01-01WorldWLDGPRGeopolitical Risk index (benchmark, monthly)102.1733779907226600017.926681518554688
1985-02-01WorldWLDGPRGeopolitical Risk index (benchmark, monthly)117.1020202636718814.92864227294921900029.84105682373047
1985-03-01WorldWLDGPRGeopolitical Risk index (benchmark, monthly)124.778152465820317.676132202148437500010.083580017089844
1985-04-01WorldWLDGPRGeopolitical Risk index (benchmark, monthly)87.92900085449219-36.84915161132812500020.882400512695312
1985-05-01WorldWLDGPRGeopolitical Risk index (benchmark, monthly)103.2628479003906215.33384704589843800018.883056640625

Télécharger un échantillon

Téléchargez l'échantillon complet de ce jeu de données (lignes d'exemple, pas le jeu complet).

Utiliser avec un LLM

Dirigez n’importe quel LLM vers le point d’accès des métadonnées — la documentation ci-dessus est aussi lisible par machine (JSON-LD + Croissant).

cURL

curl "https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/gpr_signals/gpr_geopolitical_risk_signals" | jq '{title, rows, columns_count, license}'

Python

import requests

ds = requests.get("https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/gpr_signals/gpr_geopolitical_risk_signals").json()
print(ds["title"], ds["rows"], "rows")

# Sample rows for an LLM context window
for row in ds.get("sample_rows", [])[:5]:
    print(row)

Point d’accès API: https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/gpr_signals/gpr_geopolitical_risk_signals

Astuce : récupérez /llms.txt pour le catalogue complet lisible par machine.

Geopolitical-risk signals (Caldara-Iacoviello GPR)