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US 5-year breakeven inflation signals (market-implied expectations)

Daily US market-implied inflation-expectations signals from the 5-year breakeven inflation rate (FRED, 2003 ->): the bond market's priced-in 5-year inflation expectation, with 63-day momentum, 30-day annualized change volatility, 3-sigma shock flags, 21-day drift forecasts, a 1-year expectations z-score, the anchoring gap versus the Fed's 2% target, above-target and de-anchoring flags. The market-implied counterpart to the consumer-survey expectations set: what traders, not households, expect. All rows normalized to country_code USA. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED.

Source: 5Y Breakeven Inflation Signals (derived)5,934 lignesMis à jour: 22/09/2026
inflationinflation-expectationsbreakeventipsanchoringfederal-reservemacroeconomicsmomentumvolatilityanomaly-detectionforecastingsignalsfred

Qualité

99.8

Attribution

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED; derived signals by Frontier Data Hub

Schéma

ColonneTypeDescription
datestringReference day (FRED observation date; daily).
countrystringUnited States (all series are US national).
country_codestringISO 3166-1 alpha-3 code: USA.
series_idstringFRED series ID: T5YIE (5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate).
series_labelstringOfficial FRED series title as published in the series metadata.
valuefloat5-year breakeven inflation rate in percent: the nominal 5-year Treasury yield minus the 5-year TIPS real yield — the bond market's priced-in average inflation expectation over the next 5 years (includes an inflation risk premium and a TIPS liquidity premium); Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED.
volatility_30dfloat
momentum_3mfloat
yoy_change_ppfloat
expectations_z_1yfloat
anchoring_gap_ppfloat
above_target_flaginteger
deanchored_flaginteger
anomaly_flaginteger
forecast_1mfloat

Exemple de lignes

datecountrycountry_codeseries_idseries_labelvaluevolatility_30dmomentum_3myoy_change_ppexpectations_z_1yanchoring_gap_ppabove_target_flagdeanchored_flaganomaly_flagforecast_1m
2003-01-02United StatesUSAT5YIE5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate1.3-0.7000
2003-01-03United StatesUSAT5YIE5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate1.28-0.72000
2003-01-06United StatesUSAT5YIE5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate1.31-0.69000
2003-01-07United StatesUSAT5YIE5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate1.28-0.72000
2003-01-08United StatesUSAT5YIE5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate1.33-0.6699999999999999000

Télécharger un échantillon

Téléchargez l'échantillon complet de ce jeu de données (lignes d'exemple, pas le jeu complet).

Utiliser avec un LLM

Dirigez n’importe quel LLM vers le point d’accès des métadonnées — la documentation ci-dessus est aussi lisible par machine (JSON-LD + Croissant).

cURL

curl "https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/breakeven5y_signals/us_5y_breakeven_inflation_signals" | jq '{title, rows, columns_count, license}'

Python

import requests

ds = requests.get("https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/breakeven5y_signals/us_5y_breakeven_inflation_signals").json()
print(ds["title"], ds["rows"], "rows")

# Sample rows for an LLM context window
for row in ds.get("sample_rows", [])[:5]:
    print(row)

Point d’accès API: https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/breakeven5y_signals/us_5y_breakeven_inflation_signals

Astuce : récupérez /llms.txt pour le catalogue complet lisible par machine.

US 5-year breakeven inflation signals (market-implied expectations)