OECD Business-Cycle Signals (derived)
Signals derived from the OECD Composite Leading Indicator (amplitude adjusted, monthly): CLI distance from long-term trend (cli_gap vs 100), 3/6-month momentum, turning-point detection (peaks/troughs of the smoothed CLI), expansion/contraction phase flags, below-trend streaks, 30-month annualized volatility of CLI changes, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift 1-month forecasts and a per-month cross-country volatility rank. Covers 18 countries (AUS, BRA, CAN, CHN, DEU, ESP, FRA, GBR, IDN, IND, ITA, JPN, KOR, MEX, TUR, USA, ZAF plus aggregates G20, G7, NAFTA, A5M, G4E), monthly 1955 -> present. All rows carry canonical country_code so they join cleanly with country-keyed macro data. Raw series: OECD Data Explorer (Main Economic Indicators).
- business-cycle
- leading-indicator
- cli
- oecd