US Federal Fiscal Signals (derived)
Daily-quiet quarterly fiscal signals derived from FRED's US federal finance series: 30-period annualized change volatility, 3-month momentum, year-over-year change, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift 1-month forecasts, a per-date cross-series volatility rank, and the quarterly federal balance (receipts minus expenditures — the deficit tracker). Covers total federal public debt, federal current expenditures, federal current receipts, and the federal surplus or deficit. All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED; underlying data from US Treasury Fiscal Service, Bureau of Economic Analysis, and Office of Management and Budget).
- fiscal
- debt
- deficit
- federal-budget