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  • US Business Conditions (Philadelphia Fed ADS index, keyless)

    US business conditions daily: Philly Fed ADS index

    Daily US business-conditions panel, 1960-03-01 onward: the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti (ADS) index (standardized, mean 0 / sd 1; positive = better-than-average conditions), the Philly Fed's own 7-day and 30-day trailing smoothed levels, the NBER recession flag as published (RECBARS), plus deterministic derived features: regime and regime_tier (expansion/contraction, strong/weak on the unit-sd scale), business_conditions_score = 100*Phi(7-day mean), trailing-1-year z-score, signed streak_days, zero-crossing event flags, and trailing-1-year new high/low flags. One row per day x USA; raw gates (exact 3-column layout, gapless calendar days, finite levels, RECBARS in {0,1}) fail loudly, never imputed. Upstream: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, most-current ADS vintage, keyless. Who joins this: online shops join revenue on date, subscription businesses use the score and tiers as demand-regime features for churn models, sales teams read streaks and crossings as the macro backdrop.

    • macroeconomics
    • daily
    • usa
    • demand-forecasting
    rows
    24,316
    Quality
    100
    Updated
    Sep 30, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK

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