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Open datasets, fully documented — searchable here, and readable by any LLM.

14 datasets

recession
  • US Bank Lending Standards Signals (derived)

    US bank lending standards signals (SLOOS tightening, credit conditions)

    Quarterly US credit-conditions signals derived from FRED's Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS): net percentages of banks tightening lending standards for C&I loans, with quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year changes in percentage points, 30-quarter annualized change volatility, 1-quarter momentum, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-quarter baseline, naive-drift 1-quarter forecasts, a per-quarter cross-series volatility rank, tightening regime flags with 4-year z-scores, and the large-firm minus small-firm tightening spread (the flight-to-quality gauge). All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED); underlying survey: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

    • lending-standards
    • sloos
    • credit-conditions
    • banks
    rows
    292
    Quality
    99
    Updated
    Sep 22, 2026
    Fresh
    License
    Commercial use OK
  • US Treasury Yield-Curve Signals (derived)

    US Treasury yield-curve signals (term structure)

    Daily US Treasury constant-maturity yield-curve signals from the Fed H.15 release (FRED DGS series, 11 tenors from 1-month to 30-year): per-tenor 3-month momentum, year-on-year change, 30-day volatility, 3-sigma anomaly flags, naive-drift forecasts, and 5-year level z-scores, plus cross-tenor curve gauges — 10Y-3M, 10Y-2Y, 2Y-3M, 5Y-2Y, 30Y-5Y spreads, 10Y-3M and 10Y-2Y inversion flags, and 3-month curve steepening. The term-structure-shape lens on US rates — complementing bond-signals (credit spreads and breakeven inflation) with the recession-warning curve dynamics. All rows normalized to country_code USA. Raw series: U.S. Department of the Treasury via FRED.

    • treasury
    • yield-curve
    • interest-rates
    • term-structure
    rows
    147,245
    Quality
    98
    Updated
    Sep 26, 2026
    Stale
    License
    Commercial use OK

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