US GDP and output-gap signals (growth, slack, investment/consumption shares)
Quarterly US national-accounts signals derived from FRED: real GDP growth (QoQ annualized and YoY), the CBO output gap (actual vs potential GDP) with its 10-year z-score, investment and consumption shares of GDP, the GDP-deflator inflation gauge, plus 30-quarter annualized change volatility, 1-quarter momentum, 3-sigma anomaly flags vs a trailing 12-quarter baseline, naive-drift 1-quarter forecasts and a per-quarter cross-series volatility rank. All rows are normalized to country_code USA so they join cleanly with US macro data. Raw series: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED); underlying data: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Congressional Budget Office.
Quality
Attribution
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED; underlying data: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and Congressional Budget Office; derived signals by Frontier Data Hub)
Schema
| Column | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| date | string | Observation date (FRED API field date; YYYY-MM-DD, first day of the reference quarter). |
| country | string | |
| country_code | string | |
| series_id | string | FRED series ID, e.g. GDPC1, GDPPOT, GDPCTPI, GPDI, PCEC; resolves to the series page at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/<id>. |
| series_label | string | Official FRED series title as published for the series (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis national accounts; GDPPOT: Congressional Budget Office). |
| value | float | Observation value as published by FRED for this series: billions of chained 2017 dollars at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (GDPC1, GPDI, PCEC); billions of chained 2017 dollars (GDPPOT); index, 2017=100 (GDPCTPI); see the series notes for methodology and revisions. |
| growth_qoq_ann | float | |
| yoy_change_pct | float | |
| volatility_30d | float | |
| momentum_3m | float | |
| anomaly_flag | integer | |
| forecast_1m | float | |
| rank | integer | |
| output_gap | float | |
| gap_z_10y | float | |
| investment_share | float | |
| consumption_share | float | |
| deflator_yoy | float |
Sample rows
| date | country | country_code | series_id | series_label | value | growth_qoq_ann | yoy_change_pct | volatility_30d | momentum_3m | anomaly_flag | forecast_1m | rank | output_gap | gap_z_10y | investment_share | consumption_share | deflator_yoy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1947-01-01 | United States | USA | GDPC1 | Real Gross Domestic Product | 2182.681 | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1.6426587302496334 | 7.154549840311067 | — |
| 1947-01-01 | United States | USA | GDPCTPI | Gross Domestic Product: Chain-type Price Index | 11.148 | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1.6426587302496334 | 7.154549840311067 | — |
| 1947-01-01 | United States | USA | GPDI | Gross Private Domestic Investment | 35.854 | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1.6426587302496334 | 7.154549840311067 | — |
| 1947-01-01 | United States | USA | PCEC | Personal Consumption Expenditures | 156.161 | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1.6426587302496334 | 7.154549840311067 | — |
| 1947-04-01 | United States | USA | GDPC1 | Real Gross Domestic Product | 2176.892 | -1.0566839487050617 | — | — | -5.789000000000215 | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1.5850579633716328 | 7.351352294923222 | — |
Download sample data
Download the full sample snapshot for this dataset (sample rows, not the complete dataset).
Use with an LLM
Point any LLM at the metadata endpoint — the documentation above is machine-readable too (JSON-LD + Croissant).
cURL
curl "https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/gdp_signals/us_gdp_output_gap_signals" | jq '{title, rows, columns_count, license}'Python
import requests
ds = requests.get("https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/gdp_signals/us_gdp_output_gap_signals").json()
print(ds["title"], ds["rows"], "rows")
# Sample rows for an LLM context window
for row in ds.get("sample_rows", [])[:5]:
print(row)API endpoint: https://datazimuts.com/v1/datasets/gdp_signals/us_gdp_output_gap_signals
Tip: fetch /llms.txt for the full machine-readable catalog.